Public observability layer
Reform Impact Monitor
Deterministic pre/post observed-movement comparison · Evidence View primary · Dashboard View secondary visual interpretation.
Reform Impact Monitor · mandatory disclaimer
Observed-movement comparison only. Reform overlays are descriptive context and do not establish causation. Not a regulatory determination.
REGISTRY GAPNot yet registered as verified public evidence
The values on the Reform Impact Monitor are derived analytical products produced by deterministic pre/post observed-movement outputs derived from the locked NSW observation set. They are not yet registered as active Evidence Registry records and are presented for reference only. They should not be treated as verified public evidence. Once registered, each value will render with its status, confidence, period, jurisdiction, source, method, limitations, and provenance envelope hash.
RFM-2024-GPOM-INCIDENT-REGISTER · STATUTORY
Gaming Plan of Management and Gambling Incident Register requirements
Reform date 2024-09-01
Source citation
Reform ID
RFM-2024-GPOM-INCIDENT-REGISTER
Reform type
STATUTORY
Reform date
2024-09-01
Affected scope
ALL_EGM_LICENSED_VENUES_STATEWIDE
Source documentGaming Machines Regulation 2019 (NSW) · GPoM and Gambling Incident Register provisions commencing 1 September 2024
Source referenceGPoM + Gambling Incident Register requirements commenced 1 September 2024
Expected observable metrics
- venue_count
- venue_density
Pre / post observed movement · state grain
Observed-movement percent resolved via Evidence Registry.
Pre / post observed movement · STATE · ALL
No material observable movementPre median EGM
22
Post median EGM
22
Observed movement
+0.00%
Pre / post venues
2175 / 2158
Pre anchors: 2024-03-01, 2024-05-01, 2024-06-01, 2024-08-01
Post anchors: 2024-09-01, 2024-11-01, 2024-12-01, 2025-02-01
Post anchors: 2024-09-01, 2024-11-01, 2024-12-01, 2025-02-01
abs_movement_0.00_pct_below_threshold_2_pct
Observed-movement comparison only. Not a regulatory determination.
Confidence inputs · limitations · lineage
Confidence inputs
- pre_period_observations: 4
- post_period_observations: 4
- pre_venues_observed: 2175
- post_venues_observed: 2158
- pre_window_completeness: 1
- post_window_completeness: 1
Limitations
- Pre/post comparison shows OBSERVED movement only. Reform causation is NEVER inferred.
- EGM net-profit dollars are not published by the source authority — only rank order and EGM count.
- Pre-2019 records reside in a separate historical archive and are excluded from current-window comparisons.
Methodology → /reform-impact-monitor/methodology · Lineage → stage4:venue_quarter_observations · Causation → none
Pre / post observed movement · STATE · CLUB
Observable movement detectedPre median EGM
30
Post median EGM
31
Observed movement
+3.33%
Pre / post venues
1007 / 999
Pre anchors: 2024-03-01, 2024-05-01, 2024-06-01, 2024-08-01
Post anchors: 2024-09-01, 2024-11-01, 2024-12-01, 2025-02-01
Post anchors: 2024-09-01, 2024-11-01, 2024-12-01, 2025-02-01
observed_movement_3.33_pct
Observed-movement comparison only. Not a regulatory determination.
Confidence inputs · limitations · lineage
Confidence inputs
- pre_period_observations: 4
- post_period_observations: 4
- pre_venues_observed: 1007
- post_venues_observed: 999
- pre_window_completeness: 1
- post_window_completeness: 1
Limitations
- Pre/post comparison shows OBSERVED movement only. Reform causation is NEVER inferred.
- EGM net-profit dollars are not published by the source authority — only rank order and EGM count.
- Pre-2019 records reside in a separate historical archive and are excluded from current-window comparisons.
Methodology → /reform-impact-monitor/methodology · Lineage → stage4:venue_quarter_observations · Causation → none
Pre / post observed movement · STATE · HOTEL
Observable movement detectedPre median EGM
19
Post median EGM
20
Observed movement
+5.26%
Pre / post venues
1168 / 1159
Pre anchors: 2024-03-01, 2024-05-01, 2024-06-01, 2024-08-01
Post anchors: 2024-09-01, 2024-11-01, 2024-12-01, 2025-02-01
Post anchors: 2024-09-01, 2024-11-01, 2024-12-01, 2025-02-01
observed_movement_5.26_pct
Observed-movement comparison only. Not a regulatory determination.
Confidence inputs · limitations · lineage
Confidence inputs
- pre_period_observations: 4
- post_period_observations: 4
- pre_venues_observed: 1168
- post_venues_observed: 1159
- pre_window_completeness: 1
- post_window_completeness: 1
Limitations
- Pre/post comparison shows OBSERVED movement only. Reform causation is NEVER inferred.
- EGM net-profit dollars are not published by the source authority — only rank order and EGM count.
- Pre-2019 records reside in a separate historical archive and are excluded from current-window comparisons.
Methodology → /reform-impact-monitor/methodology · Lineage → stage4:venue_quarter_observations · Causation → none
LGA reform-aligned trends · top 20 by observed movement
| LGA | Observed movement | Pre / post venues | Assessment | Registry record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffith | +40.63% | 13 / 12 | Observable movement detected | EV-B19F-90DE5E-a948 |
| Mosman | +38.46% | 4 / 3 | Observable movement detected | EV-4B9B-A6BFBE-1a78 |
| Liverpool Plains | +33.33% | 7 / 6 | Observable movement detected | EV-C61B-644C11-72b6 |
| Junee | +23.33% | 3 / 3 | Observable movement detected | EV-70FE-811F26-c1c8 |
| Ku-ring-gai | +20.00% | 7 / 6 | Observable movement detected | EV-43EB-72AD3A-a613 |
| Inverell | +20.00% | 8 / 7 | Observable movement detected | EV-4AB7-669E3E-dc0d |
| Blayney | +16.67% | 7 / 6 | Observable movement detected | EV-0076-4AA42E-91d8 |
| Leeton | +10.71% | 7 / 6 | Observable movement detected | EV-4B8F-723E1B-7bb6 |
| Port Macquarie-Hastings | +8.11% | 27 / 27 | Observable movement detected | EV-A24A-E05AB1-a1b6 |
| Orange | +7.14% | 14 / 14 | Observable movement detected | EV-491E-555615-0726 |
| Cabonne | +7.14% | 13 / 12 | Observable movement detected | EV-8ECE-2FDC98-5456 |
| Shellharbour | +6.00% | 15 / 15 | Observable movement detected | EV-A189-979EB1-8345 |
| Tweed | +5.81% | 28 / 28 | Observable movement detected | EV-C4F7-AAEFBE-ec26 |
| Woollahra | +5.26% | 14 / 13 | Observable movement detected | EV-B504-C669ED-6b18 |
| Mid-Coast | +4.88% | 47 / 46 | Observable movement detected | EV-9FFA-2A377C-b840 |
| Wagga Wagga | +4.35% | 19 / 19 | Observable movement detected | EV-BB89-3BC54A-5366 |
| Armidale Regional | +3.33% | 13 / 12 | Observable movement detected | EV-9EB4-DB8A19-6c62 |
| Coffs Harbour | +2.78% | 24 / 24 | Observable movement detected | EV-786D-F51C54-d3c0 |
| Moree Plains | +2.56% | 8 / 7 | Observable movement detected | EV-B998-24F270-e670 |
| Muswellbrook | +2.50% | 11 / 10 | Observable movement detected | EV-9478-4D6F6D-57b5 |
Showing top-20 LGAs by observed-movement percent. The full LGA list is available at LGA reform-aligned trends.