Public observability layer
Reform Impact Monitor
Deterministic pre/post observed-movement comparison · Evidence View primary · Dashboard View secondary visual interpretation.
Reform Impact Monitor · mandatory disclaimer
Observed-movement comparison only. Reform overlays are descriptive context and do not establish causation. Not a regulatory determination.
REGISTRY GAPNot yet registered as verified public evidence
The values on the Reform Impact Monitor are derived analytical products produced by deterministic pre/post observed-movement outputs derived from the locked NSW observation set. They are not yet registered as active Evidence Registry records and are presented for reference only. They should not be treated as verified public evidence. Once registered, each value will render with its status, confidence, period, jurisdiction, source, method, limitations, and provenance envelope hash.
RFM-2025-ILGA-LICENCE-REVIEW · COMMITMENT
ILGA commitment to review licence conditions adequacy
Reform date 2025-09-01
Source citation
Reform ID
RFM-2025-ILGA-LICENCE-REVIEW
Reform type
COMMITMENT
Reform date
2025-09-01
Affected scope
LICENCE_CONDITIONS_STATEWIDE
Source documentIndependent Liquor and Gaming Authority (ILGA) · 2025–26 commitment to review licence conditions
Source referenceILGA published commitment to assess adequacy of licence conditions during 2025–26
Expected observable metrics
- publication_coverage_quality
Pre / post observed movement · state grain
Observed-movement percent resolved via Evidence Registry.
Pre / post observed movement · STATE · ALL
Too early to assessPre median EGM
22
Post median EGM
23
Observed movement
+4.55%
Pre / post venues
2145 / 2130
Pre anchors: 2025-03-01, 2025-05-01, 2025-06-01, 2025-08-01
Post anchors: 2025-09-01, 2025-11-01, 2025-12-01
Post anchors: 2025-09-01, 2025-11-01, 2025-12-01
registry_pre_flag_non_observational_or_too_recent
Observed-movement comparison only. Not a regulatory determination.
Confidence inputs · limitations · lineage
Confidence inputs
- pre_period_observations: 4
- post_period_observations: 3
- pre_venues_observed: 2145
- post_venues_observed: 2130
- pre_window_completeness: 1
- post_window_completeness: 0.75
Limitations
- Pre/post comparison shows OBSERVED movement only. Reform causation is NEVER inferred.
- EGM net-profit dollars are not published by the source authority — only rank order and EGM count.
- Pre-2019 records reside in a separate historical archive and are excluded from current-window comparisons.
- Insufficient post-reform observation window for assessment under current publication cadence.
Methodology → /reform-impact-monitor/methodology · Lineage → stage4:venue_quarter_observations · Causation → none
Pre / post observed movement · STATE · CLUB
Too early to assessPre median EGM
30.5
Post median EGM
31
Observed movement
+1.64%
Pre / post venues
996 / 987
Pre anchors: 2025-03-01, 2025-05-01, 2025-06-01, 2025-08-01
Post anchors: 2025-09-01, 2025-11-01, 2025-12-01
Post anchors: 2025-09-01, 2025-11-01, 2025-12-01
registry_pre_flag_non_observational_or_too_recent
Observed-movement comparison only. Not a regulatory determination.
Confidence inputs · limitations · lineage
Confidence inputs
- pre_period_observations: 4
- post_period_observations: 3
- pre_venues_observed: 996
- post_venues_observed: 987
- pre_window_completeness: 1
- post_window_completeness: 0.75
Limitations
- Pre/post comparison shows OBSERVED movement only. Reform causation is NEVER inferred.
- EGM net-profit dollars are not published by the source authority — only rank order and EGM count.
- Pre-2019 records reside in a separate historical archive and are excluded from current-window comparisons.
- Insufficient post-reform observation window for assessment under current publication cadence.
Methodology → /reform-impact-monitor/methodology · Lineage → stage4:venue_quarter_observations · Causation → none
Pre / post observed movement · STATE · HOTEL
Too early to assessPre median EGM
20
Post median EGM
20
Observed movement
+0.00%
Pre / post venues
1149 / 1143
Pre anchors: 2025-03-01, 2025-05-01, 2025-06-01, 2025-08-01
Post anchors: 2025-09-01, 2025-11-01, 2025-12-01
Post anchors: 2025-09-01, 2025-11-01, 2025-12-01
registry_pre_flag_non_observational_or_too_recent
Observed-movement comparison only. Not a regulatory determination.
Confidence inputs · limitations · lineage
Confidence inputs
- pre_period_observations: 4
- post_period_observations: 3
- pre_venues_observed: 1149
- post_venues_observed: 1143
- pre_window_completeness: 1
- post_window_completeness: 0.75
Limitations
- Pre/post comparison shows OBSERVED movement only. Reform causation is NEVER inferred.
- EGM net-profit dollars are not published by the source authority — only rank order and EGM count.
- Pre-2019 records reside in a separate historical archive and are excluded from current-window comparisons.
- Insufficient post-reform observation window for assessment under current publication cadence.
Methodology → /reform-impact-monitor/methodology · Lineage → stage4:venue_quarter_observations · Causation → none
LGA reform-aligned trends · top 20 by observed movement
| LGA | Observed movement | Pre / post venues | Assessment | Registry record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenterfield | +50.00% | 5 / 4 | Too early to assess | EV-568E-AD3C2B-ac62 |
| Broken Hill | +43.75% | 8 / 7 | Too early to assess | EV-3DBF-932357-3355 |
| Cootamundra-Gundagai Regional | +25.00% | 7 / 7 | Too early to assess | EV-FCD3-6669E9-4436 |
| Upper Lachlan | +25.00% | 5 / 4 | Too early to assess | EV-A9CF-415ED2-1d2b |
| Dubbo Regional | +16.67% | 21 / 20 | Too early to assess | EV-0509-D96F02-3936 |
| Bellingen | +16.67% | 9 / 8 | Too early to assess | EV-3427-2CE005-a4e4 |
| Blayney | +14.29% | 6 / 5 | Too early to assess | EV-9E66-58509D-c658 |
| Newcastle | +13.33% | 80 / 77 | Too early to assess | EV-6379-043AB1-c7f5 |
| Inverell | +13.33% | 7 / 7 | Too early to assess | EV-A78D-F21017-6975 |
| Snowy Valleys | +11.11% | 12 / 11 | Too early to assess | EV-7733-737321-4708 |
| Hunters Hill | +11.11% | 2 / 2 | Too early to assess | EV-B285-421E1E-c3fe |
| Mid-Coast | +4.88% | 46 / 46 | Too early to assess | EV-8FC7-98140D-9253 |
| Upper Hunter | +4.76% | 14 / 13 | Too early to assess | EV-3364-363B4D-2292 |
| Albury | +4.17% | 15 / 15 | Too early to assess | EV-D23C-948656-b503 |
| Wagga Wagga | +3.13% | 19 / 18 | Too early to assess | EV-1A99-551BB7-a75a |
| Hawkesbury | +2.70% | 26 / 25 | Too early to assess | EV-A9A6-46C460-a13f |
| Bega Valley | +0.00% | 16 / 16 | Too early to assess | EV-5908-612F60-0ff3 |
| Orange | +0.00% | 14 / 14 | Too early to assess | EV-F32A-2EE08D-8f35 |
| Parramatta | +0.00% | 34 / 33 | Too early to assess | EV-CF9A-8BB2A3-d7b5 |
| Bayside | +0.00% | 33 / 33 | Too early to assess | EV-0B47-8C3440-6ee3 |
Showing top-20 LGAs by observed-movement percent. The full LGA list is available at LGA reform-aligned trends.